摘要
根据装备维修备件的来源及历史消耗特点，运用简单移动平均法修正历史数据，采用模型自适应调整后的季节指数法预测维修备件消耗量。计算结果表明该预测方法适合装备维修备件的预测。
According to the characteristics of history consumption and sources of equipment maintenance spare parts, the paper uses simple move in average to correct historical data, adopts the season exponent to forecast maintenance consumption of spare parts after autoadjustment. The results of calculation show that the forecast method suits to the forecast of equipment maintenance spare parts.
出处
《装备指挥技术学院学报》
2009年第3期104-107,共4页
Journal of the Academy of Equipment Command & Technology
关键词
季节指数
维修备件
自适应调整
season exponent
maintenance spare parts
autoadjustment
