摘要
对1998～2007年中国天然橡胶的产地分布、供需矛盾、进口市场及进口品种结构进行了实证分析，结果表明：中国天然橡胶存在产地数量少、自给率低、供需矛盾恶化、进口依存度和进口市场集中率高的问题；经济发展将刺激中国天然橡胶的进口需求继续增长，天然橡胶进口价格有可能继续上升，对国内相关产业影响是长期的，中国天然橡胶安全问题愈发紧迫。最后，提出中国天然橡胶进口弥补、战略储备、高级生产要素培育和海外投资等战略措施。
The producing area, contradiction of demand and supply, structure of import market of China＇s natural rubber from 1998 to 2007 are empirically analyzed. Conclusion has been made that there are little producing area, low serf supply ratio, worse contradiction of demand and supply, high import dependence and MCR. Furthermore, China＇s natural rubber＇s demand of importation will go up because of developing economy. The price of importing natural rubber will go up and influence related industry in the long term. The problems of China＇s natural rubber become more and more urgent. The strategies of importation, strategic reserve, fostering advanced producing essentials and investing overseas are given in regard to above problems.
出处
《林业经济问题》
北大核心
2009年第2期153-157,共5页
Issues of Forestry Economics
基金
江苏省"青蓝工程"资助项目(苏教师2008-30)
江苏省高校哲学社会科学基金资助项目(08SJD7900019)
关键词
供需矛盾
自给率
进口市场结构
进口品种
contradiction of demand and supply
self supply ratio
import market structure
import variety
