中国服务业外商直接投资的影响因素--基于协整检验和因果关系的实证研究被引量：10

On Influencing Factors of Foreign Direct Investment in Chinese Services——the Empirical Research Based on Co-integration and Causal Relationship

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摘要采用1985—2007年的数据，运用Johanson协整检验、Granger因果关系检验和误差纠正模型分析了中国服务业FDI的影响因素。研究表明，长期内我国的经济发展、服务业发展、第二产业的FDI以及政府服务效率的提高推动了服务业对外商直接投资的利用，同时服务业FDI也促进了我国经济、服务业以及第二产业FDI的发展，并带动了我国政府服务效率的提高。服务业开放度、人均收入水平以及服务业劳动力成本对我国服务业引资的影响不明显，而服务业FDI却推进了我国服务业的开放，并提高了人均收入水平和服务业工资水平。此外，产业政策、人力资本状况、基础设施状况与我国服务业FDI没有明显的关联性。 Based on Johauson co- integration test, Granger causality test and error correction model, this paper undertakes a verification on influencing factors of FDI in Chinese Services by adopting the data from 1985-2007. The research shows that economic development, services development, FDI in the secondary industry and the improvement of government service efficiency in long run jointly promote FDI, meanwhile, FDI in services accelerates the development of Chinese economy, of services and of FDI in the secondary industry, bringing along the improvement of government service effciency; open degree of services, average personal income and labor cost of services have a little effect on FDI in Chinese services, however, FDI in services hastens the openness of Chinese services, increasing average personal income and wage level in Chinese services; furthermore, industrial policy, manpower capital condition, infrastructure and have little correlation with FDI in Chinese services.

作者王治王耀中

机构地区长沙理工大学经济与管理学院湖南大学经济与贸易学院

出处《山西财经大学学报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2009年第6期52-58,共7页 Journal of Shanxi University of Finance and Economics

基金中国博士后基金资助项目“中国服务业引资策略研究”(20080431019) 湖南省教育厅课题“湖南省现代服务业引资对策研究”(08C070)

关键词服务业外商直接投资协整检验 GRANGER因果关系检验 services FDI cointegration Granger Causality Test

分类号 F719 [经济管理—产业经济] F224.0 [经济管理—国民经济]

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