摘要
对灰色多变量自记忆模型进行了尝试性研究,首次将系统的影响因素在建模时加以考虑,给出了建立灰色GM(1,N)自记忆模型的方法。在此基础上结合新疆和田绿洲月蒸发能力实测资料,建立了灰色GM(1,2)自记忆模型,取得了理想的预测效果。结果表明,建立的多因素影响的灰色自记忆模型有着可行性。
A theory of muhivariable grey GM （1,N） self-memory model, in which the influencing factors were considered, was set up. Based on this theory, a grey GM （1,2） self-memory model was built and used to forecasting the monthly potential evaporation in Hetian. From the forecasting effect, a conclusion was drawn that the model of grey GM（1,N） self-memory is feasible.
出处
《沈阳农业大学学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2009年第2期210-214,共5页
Journal of Shenyang Agricultural University
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(50779052)
