摘要
在工程物流的风险评估中有许多事件的风险程度是难以精确描述的。基于此,文中将模糊评价方法和风险因素分析方法结合起来,建立了工程物流风险评价的模糊综合评判模型。它通过对工程物流各个环节可能导致风险发生的因素进行模糊评价分析,确定工程物流各个环节风险发生的概率,反映各要素的风险程度,有利于考察对整体的风险影响,在一定程度上解决了如何用数学方法分析和处理风险评价中大量存在的模糊问题。
At the process of risk evaluation, there are many risk degrees of affairs which are difficult to describe accurately in project logistics. Based on this, this article combines fuzzy evaluation method and risk factors evaluation method to sets up fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model of project logistics risk evaluation ,which concludes the risk happening probability of workflows of project logistics through evaluating the factors which are likely to result in the happening of project logistics risk, reflects the risk degree of factors, is in favor of evaluating the holistic risk and solves the problem of how to use mathematical method to analyze and process the fuzzy problems in risk evaluation to some extent.
出处
《物流工程与管理》
2009年第3期44-46,共3页
Logistics Engineering and Management
关键词
模糊综合评判法
隶属度
工程物流
风险因素评价
fuzzy comprehensive evaluation
subordinative degree
project logistics
evaluation of the risk factors
