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条件风险价值约束下的发电商容量分配模型

Portfolio models with conditional value-at-risk for generation companies
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摘要 在成熟的电力市场中,发电商可选择在日前市场、实时市场、辅助服务市场等多个市场中进行交易,以降低风险,提高收益。在不同的电力交易市场中分配容量与证券市场中的资产组合类似,可通过建立均值—条件风险价值模型进行优化。但由于电力商品的一些独特特性,必须对证券市场中的模型进行修正,才能适用于电力市场。建立了电力市场中具有非V型交易费用的均值—条件风险价值模型,并通过模拟计算,比较交易费用对容量分配策略的影响。 In a complete electricity market, a generation company can trade in the day-ahead market, the real-time market, the ancillary services market, and etc. To get higher return rate while remaining the risk in a lower level, the company needs to optimize its capacity allocation strategy which is similar tothe assets portfolio in securities markets. The optimization can be achieved by introducing the mean-conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) model to the electricity market. However, electricity has its special characteristics, and the model must be modified. A novel non-V transaction cost mean-CVaR model was proposed and was then used to compare the influence of the transaction cost on the capacity allocation strategy.
出处 《华东电力》 北大核心 2009年第3期380-384,共5页 East China Electric Power
关键词 条件风险价值 交易费用 容量分配 电力市场 发电商 conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) transaction cost capacity allocation electricity market generation company
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