摘要
在深入分析泰国1997年货币危机的特征、发生机理的基础上,本文探讨了最近几年越南的经济形势,认为当前越南的经济困境具备泰国危机综合征的典型特征。未来越南经济形势具有不确定性,能否最终避免重蹈越南覆辙,取决于越南政府能否有效控制通胀、有序调整资产价格和改善贸易收支。
Based on the retrospect of the symptom and generative mechanism of 1997 Thailand currency crisis,this paper will focus mainly on the economic situation of Vietnam in the past few years. Our analysis shows that the economic cmbarrassment that Vietnam government has been facing since last year share the main characters with the syndrome of Thailand＇s Crisis. The future of Vietnamese economy is full of uncertainty. Whether Vietnam can be immune to currency or financial crises depends on Vietnamese government＇s ability to control inflation, adjust asset price orderly and improve balance of payments.
出处
《南洋问题研究》
CSSCI
2008年第4期41-47,共7页
Southeast Asian Affairs
关键词
泰国危机综合征
越南
资产泡沫
syndrome of Thailand currency crisis, Vietnam, asset bubble
