摘要
电解铝投资项目具有投资大、周期长等特点,投资效益受电解铝价格、经营成本和建设投资的影响较大,准确识别并判断这些风险因素对投资效果的影响十分重要。本文对电解铝投资项目风险评价的几种主要方法进行比较,通过案例分析,得出蒙特卡洛模拟法能较为全面地评价电解铝投资项目的风险。
Large investment and long cycle features electrolytic aluminum project. Electrolytic aluminum prices, operating costs and investment have great impact on economic returns. Therefore it is very important to identify the impact of these risk factors. The paper compares the main methods of aluminum investment project risk assessment. Through case studies, it is concluded Monte an overall way. Carlo simulation could assess the aluminum project risk in
出处
《中国有色冶金》
北大核心
2008年第5期51-55,共5页
China Nonferrous Metallurgy
关键词
电解铝
投资项目
风险评价
盈亏平衡
敏感性分析
蒙特卡洛模拟法
electrolytic aluminum
investment project
risk assessment
break even
sensitivity analysis
Monte Carlo simulation
