摘要
针对多所高校普遍存在的选修课供求比例失衡、课程资源配置不够合理等问题,笔者以浙江某高校的历史选课数据为例,利用GM(1,1)灰色预测模型对高校选修课开课数量及其规模进行了预测,并对比了四种模型的预测误差,结果表明二阶算子作用序列下的预测数据可信度较高,并以此为基础讨论了不同类型选修课布局及课程计划管理.
It is common issues in many tertiary institutions that there exist disproportional relationship between supply and demand for electives, and inefficient courses rationing. Based on former data of electives of the tertiary institution in Zhejiang, GM （1, 1） is be used to forecast the number of classes for students electives which are regarded as the scope of available courses. Contrasting four kinds of gray forecast error of model, the results show that the forecast date is more creditable under sub-function Sequence. Thus arrangement for various electives and management of courses plan are discussed.
出处
《数学的实践与认识》
CSCD
北大核心
2008年第22期124-129,共6页
Mathematics in Practice and Theory
基金
浙江省教育科学规划2007年度研究项目(SC130)
