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Analysis of Nash-Cournot equilibrium for electricity markets considering option contracts

考虑期权合约的电力市场纳什-古诺均衡分析(英文)
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摘要 Option contract is one of the most important instruments for power generators developing bidding strategies and hedging market risk. Based on the peculiarities of bid-based-pool (BBP) power markets, a joint two-stage Cournot equilibrium model for option and spot markets is developed, and analytical formulas for market equilibrium are derived using a backward induction method. The impacts of option contract on efficiency of electricity markets and the behaviors of strategic generators are analyzed. The results show that strategic generators will voluntarily participate in strategic option contracting, and the existence of option contract accelerates the degree of competitive intensity in electricity markets and mitigates the market power abuse of generators to a large extent. In order to retain high spot market price and stable revenues, generators are interested in holding extremely high volatility of spot market price. Option contract is one of the most important instruments for power generators developing bidding strategies and hedging market risk.Based on the peculiarities of bid-based-pool(BBP) power markets, a joint two-stage Cournot equilibrium model for option and spot markets is developed, and analytical formulas for market equilibrium are derived using a backward induction method.The impacts of option contract on effciency of electricity markets and the behaviors of strategic generators are analyzed.The results show that strategic generators will voluntarily participate in strategic option contracting, and the existence of option contract accelerates the degree of competitive intensity in electricity markets and mitigates the market power abuse of generators to a large extent.In order to retain high spot market price and stable revenues, generators are interested in holding extremely high volatility of spot market price.
出处 《Journal of Shanghai University(English Edition)》 CAS 2008年第6期542-547,共6页 上海大学学报(英文版)
基金 supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.70871074)
关键词 electricity markets option contract Cournot model Nash equilibrium game theory 发电机 电路 电学 模拟
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