摘要
美国次贷危机的爆发是一个历史性事件,它标志着美国超前的消费模式和自由资本主义模式的终结,也标志着旧的世界经济体系的崩溃,世界经济将进入一个大的调整和动荡时期。受其影响。我国未来数年内外部需求增长将明显下降,并导致工业增速相应放慢。同时,次贷危机降低了居民未来的收入预期,居民的娱乐、旅游、教育、通讯等消费可能进一步降温。以住房、汽车为对象的信用消费可能出现明显下滑。但从长期看,我国国内经济增长潜力巨大,国际位势相对有利,为了降低风险和把握机遇,我们需要采取积极措施,刺激内需增长。加速经济结构的转型,保持经济平稳快速增长。
The subprime mortgage crisis in US, which is a historic event, is the end of excessive consumption model and free capitalism model, and also marks the collapse of current economic system. The world economy will enter in a turbulent period. Thus, under its influence, the interior and exterior demand growth will decrease significantly, and the industrial growth rate is slowing down. Meanwhile, The subprime mortgage crisis tones down the residents＇ income expectancy. So it＇s possible that residents＇ consumptive ardor of entertainment, tourism, education, communication and so forth, will further cool down, and the credit consumption level about housing and automobile will possibly slow down. However, in long term, China has large potential in economic growth, and comparative advantage in international potential. In order to reduce the risks and seize opportunities, we need to take positive steps to stimulate growth in domestic demand, accelerate economic restructuring, and maintain steady and rapid economic growth.
出处
《国际金融研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2008年第11期20-26,共7页
Studies of International Finance
关键词
次贷危机
消费
增长潜力
内需
Sub-prime Mortgage Crisis
Consumption
Growth Potential
Interior Demand.
