摘要
国际干散货海运市场会受到很多因素的影响,因此对国际干散货海运需求量的预测十分困难,传统的预测方法难以对其作出准确预测,本文提出国际干散货海运量的组合预测模型。该模型由于综合利用各种预测方法所提供的有用信息,其预测精度明显高于传统的预测方法。
International seaborne dry bulk cargo market is affected by many factors,It is rather difficult to forecast the world dry bulk cargo seaborne demand. It cant be accurately forecost by conventional forecasting approaches, therefore,this paper presents the combined forecasting model.The model is more accurate than the conventional forecasting mode because it adopts various useful information provided by other forecast approaches.
出处
《上海海运学院学报》
1997年第2期82-88,共7页
Journal of Shanghai Maritime University