摘要
针对目前MTBF和MTTR获取的不规范性,应用贝叶斯估计求解系统的MTBF和MTTR,依据MTBF和MTTR的先验分布,利用贝叶斯公式求出它们的后验分布,然后利用贝叶斯估计得到MTBF和MTTR的估计值。最后运用一个实例验证了该方法的正确性。
Due to the values of MTBF and MTTR are nonstandard, a method to calculate MTBF and MTTR by Bayes estimation was proposed in this paper, based on the prior distribution of MTBF and MTTR, then using the Bayes formula to acquire their posterior distribution, finally, the values of MTBF and MTTR were acquired by Bayes estimation. In the end, an example proves that this method is correct.
出处
《华北电力大学学报(自然科学版)》
CAS
北大核心
2008年第4期84-86,92,共4页
Journal of North China Electric Power University:Natural Science Edition