摘要
利用多变量序列分量方差分析模型,发现当前我国国内旅游需求变化受国民经济增长速度影响较大,餐饮、零售业对国内旅游推动较大,在研究的周期内交通运输业的发展对国内旅游几乎没有影响,而城乡居民生活水平的提高对国内旅游需求增长贡献有限。研究的基本结论是,总体上我国还没有进入旅游消费快速增长阶段。
By using Multivariate Time Series Variance Component Model, this paper has found local tourism demand mainly influenced by increasing speed of economy, development of hospitality and retailing may effectively raise local tourism demand, and transport industry make no difference. The contribution of living standard rising to local tourism demand is faint currently. In a word, currently we have not entered into the period which tourism consumption grows fast.
出处
《软科学》
CSSCI
2008年第8期14-17,共4页
Soft Science
关键词
国内旅游
影响因素
需求
经济增长
生活水平
local tourism
influential factor
demand
economy growth
standard of living
