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油气田产量预测的模型研究 被引量:31

A MODEL INVESTIGATION ON FORECASTING THE PRODUCTION OF OIL AND GAS FIELD
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摘要 油气田产量和可采储量的预测是油藏工作中一项十分重要的任务,它是编制油气田开发规划部署,进行油气田开发(调整)方案设计,以及油气田开发动态分析的重要内容。基于对大量油气田开发实际动态资料的统计研究,建立了一种预测油气田产量、累积产量、可采储量、最高年产气量及其发生的时间的新模型。该模型还可以预测剩余可采储量、剩余可采储量的储采比或采油速度等参数。油气田实际应用结果表明,该模型不仅适用于油气田产量存在单峰的情形,而且也适用于油气田投产之后持续递减的情形。 The forecast of the production and recoverable reserves in oil and gas field is quite an important task in oil and gas field development ,which is the major contents of making up oil and gas field development program and deployment,and of carrying out oil and gas field development (adjustment)plan design and performance analysis.Based on a statistical study on a great deal of practical performance data on oil and gas field development,a new model of forecasting the production,cumulative production,recoverable reserves and maximum yearly production and its formed time of the oil and gas field was set up. The parameters such as remaining recoverable reserves and their reserve production ratio or production rate may be forecasted by the model too.According to the result of applying it to oil and gas fields,it is shown that the model can be used not only for the case of unimodal production curve,but also for that of continuous production decline after the oil and gas field has been put into production.
出处 《天然气工业》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 1997年第5期31-34,共4页 Natural Gas Industry
关键词 可采储量 产量预测 油气田开发规划 Oil and gas fields,Cumulative production,Recoverable reserve,Production forecast,Model.
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  • 1刘青年,大庆油田开发论文集之一,1991年
  • 2朱冰静,预测原理与方法,1991年
  • 3赵旭东,科学通报,1989年,32卷,18期
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二级引证文献162

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