摘要
仿真模型置信度直接影响着仿真系统的置信度和仿真试验的价值大小,因而倍受关注。基于置信区间法原理,利用模型的输出数据结合对参数区间估计的置信度与决策风险的分析,讨论了仿真模型置信度的决策分析方法。应用于水下目标辐射噪声仿真系统中的信号仿真模型,对模型置信度进行了分析,可为决策者提供辅助决策支持。
Based on the confidence interval theory, the method of decision-making analysis about simulation model credibility was discussed, and decision-making risk in the process of analysis was considered. It is illustrated with application in the simulation of underwater target radiated-noise that, the method has extensive applicability and may provide auxiliary decision-making support for the development of simulating system.
出处
《系统仿真学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2008年第12期3274-3276,共3页
Journal of System Simulation
基金
海军工程大学自然科学基金(20070618)
关键词
仿真模型
置信度
置信区间
决策分析
simulation model
credibility
confidence interval
decision-making analysis
