摘要
随着经济全球化的日益深化和西部大开发战略的实施,外商直接投资对陕西省出口贸易起着越来越重要的作用。本文运用协整方法和误差修正模型分析外商直接投资和陕西出口贸易之间的关系,得出了外商直接投资和陕西出口贸易之间存在着长期稳定的正相关关系,而且它们之间的短期偏离会向长期均衡调整的结论,最后提出了几点启示和政策建议,希望对陕西省外资引导政策的制定具有一定的借鉴意义。
Along with deepening of the economical globalization day by day and implementation of the Strategy for the Great Development in West China, the Foreign Direct Investment is playing more and more important role to the Shannxi export trade. This article analyses the relations of Foreign Direct Investment and Shannxi export trade utilizing Co-integration Test and Error Correction Model, obtained the conclusion that there is a long-term stability correlation between the Foreign Direct Investment and Shannxi export trade, and the short-term deviation could adjust to the long-term equilibrium. Finally, it proposed several enlightenments and the policy recommendations in order to give some guidance to formulate the Shannxi Province foreign capital policy.
出处
《经济管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2008年第10期84-89,共6页
Business and Management Journal ( BMJ )
基金
陕西省教育厅2007年科学技术研究计划资助项目“陕西省外商直接投资的对外贸易效应研究”(07JK089)
关键词
外商直接投资
ADF检验
协整关系
误差修正模型
foreign direct investment
ADF test
co-integration relations
error correction model
