摘要
本文采用Bertrand模型和Lotka-Volterra模型模拟中国移动和联通产品竞争情况,发现Lotka-Volt-erra模型能更好地描述两公司竞争的动态演变过程;用该模型分析竞争的动态稳定性和演变轨迹,发现公司竞争优势取决于用户的取向,两公司的用户将在386.545(百万户)和158.286(百万户)处达到均衡;实行技术合作能使两家公司用户数量增加。
In this paper, we use the Bertrand model and Lotka - Volterra model to analyze China Mobile and China Unicorn subscriber mechanism for the evolution of competition. We found that Lotka - Volterra is more appropriate. Then we use Lotka - Voherra model to discuss the subscriber dynamic evolution and the stability of the two companies. We found that the subscriber numbers of the two companies depend on the intent of the users. The future subscriber number of the two companies will reach a balance at 386.545 （million） and 158. 286 （million）. Technical cooperation can increase in the number of two companies＇ subscribers.
出处
《中国软科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2008年第1期116-124,共9页
China Soft Science
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(编号:70672012/G0201)
