摘要
基于周期谱分析基础上的线性合成概率预测方法,对青藏高原北部地区MS≥7.0、MS≥6.5强震进行了试验性研究,并利用其结果作为预测依据,对青藏高原北部地区强震趋势做了初步估计。利用该方法,本文还对东昆仑断裂带1900年以来的MS≥7.0强震进行了研究。
Using the linear synthesis probability method based on periodical spectrum,the authors analyzed the earthquakes above MS≥7.0、MS≥6.5 scale occured in the north of Qinghai-Tibet plateau.A preliminary estimation of the strong earthquake tendency in the north of Qinghai-Tibet plateau about future several years was made according the outcome of prospect prediction.And the strong earthquakes of MS≥7.0 in the east kunlun mountain active fault zone from 1900 are also investigated.
出处
《地震地磁观测与研究》
2007年第6期1-5,共5页
Seismological and Geomagnetic Observation and Research
基金
地震科学联合基金青年课题(605028)资助
关键词
线性合成概率
青藏高原北部地区
强震趋势
linear synthesis probability,the north of Qinghai-Tibet plateau,strong earthquake tendency
