摘要
笔者运用协整分析的方法,对中美贸易顺差及其影响因素之间的长期关系进行了分析。实证结果表明,中美贸易顺差主要来自于美国及东亚诸国对华产业转移所导致的产业内贸易,其实质是我国国内加工贸易产业结构不合理。由此引发了对加工贸易产业结构优化的思考。
Using the method of co - integration analysis, the author analyzes the long - term relationship between Sino - US trade surplus and its influencing factors. The empirical result indicates that the Sino - U.S. trade surplus mainly comes from the intra - industry trade which resuits from the fact that America and some East Asian countries shift their industry into China, the essence of which is the unreasonable industry structure in domestic processing trade industry. And it causes reflection upon the optimization of industry structure in processing trade industry.
出处
《经济经纬》
CSSCI
北大核心
2007年第6期49-52,共4页
Economic Survey
基金
教育部"加工贸易产业梯度转移理论与政策研究"课题(06JA790069)
陕西省社会科学界2006年度课题"现行加工贸易的政策分析与政策调整建议"(SSKL06)
关键词
中美贸易顺差
协整性分析
产业内贸易
Sino - US trade surplus
co - integration analysis
intra - industry trade
