摘要
在前人提出的系统协调度理论模型的基础上,从"高等教育—经济"复合系统协调发展度的历史数据出发,利用非线性回归分析法,建立系统协调度的预测模型,并分析其不同的动态行为:稳定、周期、混沌,最后给出系统协调度的模拟与预测步骤,为"高等教育—经济"复合系统协调发展趋势研究奠定理论基础。
Based on the theoretical model of coordinating degree and the historical data of coordinating degree of co-system of higher education and economy, the paper derives a predication model of the system's coordinating degree by means of no linear regression method, analyzes different dynamic actions such as stability, cycle and chaos, and finally offers the steps of simulating and predicting the system's coordinating degree, all of which are expected to lay a theoretical foundation for the future research in the coordination of co-system of higher education and economy.
出处
《西南交通大学学报(社会科学版)》
2007年第5期131-134,139,共5页
Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University(Social Sciences)
基金
教育部青年专项课题(EFA050200)
关键词
“高等教育-经济”复合系统
协调性评价
预测模型
co-system of higher education and economy
coordination evaluation
prediction model