摘要
本文主要研究再入变轨机动导弹攻防对抗仿真问题.通过建立攻防对抗仿真数学模型和设计仿真软件,分析了防御方的拦截决策,并应用系统分析和定性定量分析相结合的方法研究了攻方导弹的突防概率.研究结果表明,针对“爱国者”改进型导弹防御系统,攻方导弹采取再入变轨机动飞行具有强突防能力,防御方只有在保证十分精确的测量和预测变轨机动弹道的情况下,拦截攻方导弹才有可能获得成功.
In this pater, the problem of simulation of offensive and defensive capability of orbit maneuvering reentry missile is discussed. Mathematical model of simulation is established and the simulation software package is designed. Through simulation computation, the decision of interception is analyzed. Then penetration probability of offensive missile is studied, with the method of systematic analysis and quantitative analysis association with qualitative analysis. Research results indicate that maneuvering reentry missile has excellent penetration capability a-gainst PAC-2 (Patriot Anti-missile Capability) defense system. Until maneuvering trajectory is measured and predicted quite precisely, interception is probably successful.
出处
《系统工程与电子技术》
EI
CSCD
1997年第4期45-49,共5页
Systems Engineering and Electronics
关键词
弹道导弹
防御系统
攻防对抗
仿真
Ballistic missile, Maneuvering reentry, Simulation, Penetration probability, De-fense system.
