摘要
本文运用系统动力学的理论和方法,分析中国城市化进程中的大城市问题.介绍已建立的中国大城市的一般模型——大城市系统动力学模型的基本设计思想.以此模型作为大城市经济发展战略的政策实验室,运用中国某一大城市的一系列数据,对其未来的社会、经济等方面的发展进行模拟.在分析、比较模拟结果的基础上,提出有关该大城市经济发展战略的政策建议.最后给出大城市系统动力学模型的主要DYNAMO方程式.
This paper analyses metroplitan problems of China in the process of urbanization,using the theory and method of system dy-namics,and introducing the essentials of designing of Chinese Metroplis System Dynamics. This model is used as a policy laboratory for the strategy of economic development of metropolis.The development of a certain Chinese metropolis is simulated in terms of its future social and economic aspects depending on a series of data. On the basis of the results of simulation, some suggestions on policy are made about the strategy of economic development of this metropolis. The main equations of the model are presented in this article.
出处
《北方工业大学学报》
1989年第1期72-86,共15页
Journal of North China University of Technology
