摘要
上海是能源资源贫乏的城市,所需石油几乎全部依靠外部调入。因此,国际石油市场对上海石油供应安全的影响至关重要。通过对国际市场石油价格变化的历史资料分析,建立了油价波动分析模型,定量分析了不同价格波动幅度对上海石油供应安全的影响。
As an energy-lacked city, Shanghai＇s oil demand almost completely relies on other regions. Accordingly, the effect of international crude oil market is essential to the security of shanghais oil supply. A price fluctuation analysis model is established in this paper, which based on the historical data analysis of international crude oil price. Then the effect on the security of the oil supply in Shanghai is analyzed quantitatively at different price fluctuation ranges.
出处
《上海节能》
2007年第3期22-26,共5页
Shanghai Energy Saving
关键词
石油
价格风险
供应安全
价格波动
Oil, Price-risk, Supply security, Price fluctuation
