摘要
东盟是我国重要的农产品出口市场之一,近年来我国与东盟农产品贸易出现了逆差不断扩大的问题。本文利用斯皮尔曼等级相关系数重点分析和比较了我国与东盟农产品出口结构调整能力的强弱及变化趋势。研究结果表明:我国农产品出口结构调整能力明显弱于东盟,另外,我国和东盟都是按照对方市场当年农产品总进口需求进行结构调整,这比滞后一年表现得更为明显。
ASEAN is an important asricuttural product export markets of China. Trade deficit comes forth and the gap is increasingty entarged in recent years between China and ASEAN. Using the Spearman's rank corretation coefficient, the paper anatyses and compares the structural adjustment abitity of agricuttural export and its' variety trend between China and ASEAN. The resutts indicate that China's structural adjustment abitity of agricuttural export is obviousty tower than ASEAN. Furthermore, China and ASEAN are both adjust its' aggicuttural export structure currentty according to the aggregate agricuttural import demand, which is more obvious than tagged one year.
基金
教育部人文社会科学项目成果:"东亚区域经济合作:潜力
障碍及模式选择--农产品贸易视角"(06JC790039)
关键词
中国
东盟
农产品出口结构
斯皮尔曼等级相关系数
ASEAN
Structural adjustment ability of agricultural export
Spearman rankcorrelation coefficient