摘要
台湾问题是困扰中美关系的一大难题。美国基于维护台湾海峡两岸不统不独、不战不和的利益考虑,试图对双方采取平衡交往的双轨政策。但这一政策却因美国国内不同利益团体的作用,选举周期的影响,国际战略格局的变化和海峡两岸的政治角力,不时地受到冲击,发生周期性的变化。美国对华政策的周期摇摆性,不利于维持台海现状。1995-1996年的海峡危机和2003-2004年岛内公投、制宪、正名风潮,与美方未能妥善处理台湾这一难题,给台北发出错误信号就有很大关系。
The Taiwan Question is a dilemma confronting Sino-U,S, relations, Based on its strategic preference to a status quo （neither unification nor independence and neither war nor peace） across the Taiwan Strait, the United States attempts to maintain an evenhanded ＂dual track＂ policy toward Beijing and Taiwan. This policy, however, entails periodical adjustments, due to American domestic interest conflict and electoral campaign, international strategic reconfiguration, as well as the two sides＇ competition over their influences on Washington. The changing equilibrium of U.S. policy favoring one side as opposed to the other over times has helped to produce an unstable cross-Taiwan Strait relationship. The 1995-96 strait crises, and the 2003-04 turmoil around the issues of public referenda, constitutional engineering and ＂name rectification＂ were to a great degree attributable to the U.S. mismanagement of the Taiwan dilemma by sending wrong massages to the island.
出处
《台湾研究集刊》
CSSCI
2007年第1期45-50,65,共7页
Taiwan Research Journal
基金
上海市浦江人才计划资助
关键词
美国对台政策
两岸关系
中美关系
台湾难题
战略模糊
战略清晰
中程协议
U.S. China policy, cross-Taiwan strait relations, sino-U.S, relations, the Taiwan dilemma, strategic ambiguity, strategic clarity, interim agreement
