摘要
本文从选举政治的角度,在对美国2006年中期选举的政治环境、选举的形势和特点进行分析的基础上,探讨民主党获胜的原因和选举结果对美内政外交的影响。文章认为,2006年中期选举是美国自1994年以来最重要的一次国会选举。民主党赢得全面选举胜利的主要原因,是多数选民对布什政府的伊拉克政策和共和党控制的国会接连出现的腐败丑闻的强烈不满,保守派对布什政府的开支和社会政策不满,拉美裔对共和党控制的众议院的移民政策不满而引起的对两党的支持发生异常变化所致。选举的结果对美国今后两年的政局和内政外交政策走向、对布什政府的国内政策议程具有一定的影响,但美国两大政党的基础选民及其结构、美国政治潮流和社会思潮的基本趋向没有改变。在布什剩余的任期内,美国的内政外交政策难以做出大的调整。
The article, based on analyses of current political environment and the features of 2006 mid-term election in U.S., discusses the causes of the Democrat' s victory and the impacts of the change in the Congress on American future domestic and foreign policies. The author holds that Democrat's re-control of both houses of the United States is a reflection of voters' strong dissatisfaction with Bush's Iraq policy and corruption scandals from the Republican-controlled Congress, the conservatives' opposition against budgetary and social policies and Hispanic voters' anger with immigration policy. The change in congress would exert some impacts on U.S. domestic and foreign policies in the coming two years. However, the constituents who back either of the two parties basically did not change, the trend of American political and social thinking did not change, either. Therefore, Bush Administration may not make radical readjustments in its domestic and foreign policies in the remaining two years.
出处
《美国研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2007年第1期7-33,共27页
The Chinese Journal of American Studies
