摘要
本文认为,当前我国地方政府债务风险预警应该从显性债务开始,遵循循序渐进的原则来进行,论文从理论的高度,阐述了预警目标以及组织管理体系构建,列举了一般性的预警工作流程,并对流程中几个关键的环节,如指标体系构建、指标值风险区间设置、指标权重确定、风险值测度、综合风险评价的原则与方法进行了深入地探讨。
The article believes that the debt risk pre - warning of Chinese local government should start from the dominance debts at present, and should abide the principle of advancing gradually; the article analyzes the pre - warning aims and its organization system theoretically, and lists the working process of the risk pre -warning, and probes the several key links of the process deeply, such as index system building, index range value interposing, index weight affirruing, risk value estimating, synthetic risk estimating principles and methods, etc.
出处
《中国软科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2007年第3期110-114,119,共6页
China Soft Science
基金
国家社科基金重大项目(05&ZD008)
江苏省教育厅哲学社科基金项目(06SJD790036)
关键词
财政安全
地方政府
债务风险
预警
fiscal safe
local government
debt risk
pre - warning
