摘要
《猜度术》是概率论的第一部奠基性著作,其出版是概率论成为独立数学分支的标志．本文详细分析了雅各布·伯努利的概率新思想,尤其对伯努利数及伯努利大数定律进行了较为深刻地探讨．另外,还澄清了长期以来对《猜度术》整理出版者的—个误传．
Art of Conjecturing is the first foundational work on the theory of probability. Its publication symbolizes the independence of the theory of probability as a branch of mathematics. This paper analyses Jacob Bernoulli＇s new thoughts about probability, such as Bernoulli＇s law of large numbers and Bernoulli＇s number. Besides, we clear up the problem about the arranger and publisher of Art of Conjecturing.
基金
国家自然科学基金(10471111)
吴文俊丝绸之路天元基金.
关键词
猜度水
大数定律
概率
期望
art of conjecturing
law of large numbers
probability
expectation
