摘要
本文回顾了发展中国家对外投资理论和国内对我国开展对外投资的理论文献,对我国所处的成长阶段进行了分析,得出了我国已经处于第二阶段和第三阶段中间的结论。通过增加相关变量,扩展了邓宁的IDP理论模型。并使用国际面板数据,用PCSE方法对模型进行估计,对我国未来五年的对外投资规模进行了趋势性的预测。
After reviewing related theories and literatures on China's outward investment, this paper discussed the position of China in the IDP developing phase, got the conclusion that China has been at the position between phase Ⅱ and phase Ⅲ, and expanded the IDP model through adding more related variables. With panel data, this paper estimated model using PCSE method, and made a forecast on the scale of outward investment in the near 5 years.
出处
《经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2007年第2期38-47,共10页
Economic Research Journal
关键词
经济增长
对外投资
IDP理论
Economic Growth
Outward Investment
IDP Theory
