摘要
世界能源消费的增长(除前苏联以外)在经济增长的带动下,已经稳定在略低于3％的水平。各种燃料的消费增长率亦趋于稳定。在化石燃料中,天然气的消费量增长最快,天然气在一次能源消费结构中与煤炭竞争,所占比例逐渐上升。以新兴市场经济国家,特别是亚洲国家为主导的世界各地区的能源消费也稳定增长。除非经济增长出现偏差或者在能源价格、技术和政策方面发生大的变化,否则,以上趋势都将持续下去。石油、天然气和煤炭的储量数据均表明,在可预见的未来,这几种资源不可能出现潜在的短缺。对能源资源的分析表明,目前探明的资源完全可以满足需求,并且近几年的资料证明,资源的发现量大于消费量,关键问题与其说是资源,倒不如说是成本和投资问题。
(outside the FSU) has stabilised at just under 3% and is driven by economic growth. Consumption of various fuels grew at stable but differing rates. Gas consumption increased the fastest of all fossil fuels, continuing to increase its share of the market, mainly at the expense of coal. Regional growth trends were also stable, with emerging markets, especially in Asia, leading the way. Analysis of energy resources indicates that the world is well supplied with proven energy resources. More new resources have been discovered than consumed in the last several years. Cost and investment in development . rather than availability of resources, are now the key factors in the world energy picture.
The trend in energy consumption in the world
出处
《国际石油经济》
1996年第6期6-9,共4页
International Petroleum Economics
