摘要
本文研究发现:(1)入世后,中国对美知识版权保护程度增强,但知识产权保护成效存在着时滞,直到2004年美国遭受的版权贸易损失才得以改善。具体地,入世后中国对美唱片&音乐、娱乐软件和图书版权保护程度在上升,结果这三者的美国对华版权贸易损失在下降。(2)鉴于知识产权贸易占中美双边贸易权重过小,以及中美双边互补性商品贸易结构,故而美中知识产权争端难以升级为双边贸易战。美国对华贸易制裁威胁会遭遇到其国内多个利益集团的强烈反对以及中国的反报复威胁。这些力量共同促成:美国抑制执行贸易制裁威胁,而中国修正其知识产权法并加强执行力度。
The findings of this research include: (1) since China' s entry into WTO, the protection of IPR from U.S. has been strengthened, but not without a time lag in effectiveness until 2004 when the situation began to improve for American copy rights. As the protection of records and music, entertainment software and books from the U.S intensifies, the loss in the three categories of trade with China diminishes. (2) Considering the small ratio of IPR trade in Sino-U.S. bilateral trade volume and the complementary nature of the Sino-U.S. trade structures, trade disputes in IPR are unlikely to escalate into trade wars. U.S. trade sanction threats against China will meet with intense opposition from quite a few interest groups in the U.S., and provoke retaliation from China. As a result of these forces working together, U.S. will restrain the imposition of trade sanction on China while China will amend its IPR laws and enforce IPR laws with new vigor.
出处
《当代财经》
CSSCI
北大核心
2006年第11期97-102,共6页
Contemporary Finance and Economics
基金
上海市哲学社会科学规划课题(2006BJL006)