摘要
基于生态足迹理论,用实证方法进行了我国可持续发展的定量测算与分析。在静点测算基础上,对我国20多年来的生态足迹供给与需求进行了动态测算与分析。通过Eviews软件分析了生态足迹与GDP、POP(人口)的线性关系。利用分析结果和变量之间的估计方程可以判断我国可持续发展状况,并预测未来走势。
On the basis of the theory of ecological footprint, China＇s ecological footprint in main years from 1978 to 2004 is analyzed. Depending on the long-term data, the curve of the general demand and supply of ecological footprint is depicted, and the trend of the long-term ecological footprint is observed to judge whether it was in equilibrium. The result is that ecological deficit has been increasing in the long-term. And in the end the ecological consistency of China is analyzed using econometric model.
出处
《武汉大学学报（信息科学版）》
EI
CSCD
北大核心
2006年第11期1022-1026,共5页
Geomatics and Information Science of Wuhan University
基金
中山大学广东发展研究院人文社会科学研究基金资助项目(99XA790011)
广东省自然科学基金资助项目(974083)
国家社会科学基金"九五"重点资助项目(96AJB042)
关键词
环境与生态经济
生态足迹
生态承载力
生态生产性土地
动态分析
environmental and ecological economics
ecological footprint
ecological carrying capacity
ecological productive land
dynamic analysis
