摘要
对我国沿海地区１～３ａ强震危险性给出三级层次分析结果。首先分析地震大开势，其次分区研究强震概率增益，最后以华南为例对小层次即潜在震源未来１～３ａ强震概率进行计算。
Risk analyses of strong earthquakes which might occur along the coast in our country in the forthcoming 1-3 years are made in 3 grades: 1. Analyses of general situation of earthquake probabilities; 2. Zoned analysis of strong earthquake probability gain; 3. Calculation of strong earthquake probabilities of potential seismic source in south China in the forthcoming 1- 3 years.
出处
《灾害学》
CSCD
1996年第4期30-34,共5页
Journal of Catastrophology
关键词
强震
中期预报
地震
危险性评估
层次分析
Strong earthquake
Medium-term prediction (1-3years ), Seismic risk evaluation
