摘要
文章针对现有人口抽样数据的特点和缺陷，通过对总和生育率指标的分析和改进，测算了1994-2004年中国的总和生育率，探讨了影响该指标变化的各种因素。结果表明，中国的总和生育率从1994-1996年的1．80左右下降到2001-2004年的1．62左右，其中2000年为1．66；影响中国总和生育率的主要因素有经济发展水平、一般生育率、生育年龄和城镇化进程等。
Paying attention to the properties and defects of existing sample data of population, this paper estimated China’s total fertility rates from 1994 to 2004 by revising total fertility rate index, and then discussed causal factors of the index outlined. The result shows that total fertility rate in the country dropped from about 1.80 in 1994-1996 to about 1.62 in 2001-2004, and it was 1.66 in 2000. The important factors affecting total fertility rate are economic development level, the general fertility rate, the child-bearing age and the level of urbanization.
出处
《中国人口科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2006年第4期35-42,共8页
Chinese Journal of Population Science
