摘要
文章运用1983-2004年时间序列数据,应用Engle-Granger协整检验和Granger因果关系检验对外商直接投资对中国产业结构的影响进行了实证研究。研究结果显示:外商直接投资促进产业结构优化,但外商直接投资和产业结构变动之间不存在长期稳定的关系。在此基础上,文章建议积极引导外资为我国产业结构的优化升级做出更大贡献。
Based on the theory and structure (FDI) on industrial structure upgrading, using the analysis of the effect of foreign direct investment time series data from 1983 to 2004 and the Engle-Granger cointegration and Granger test of causality, this paper does some empirical analysis. The result shows that foreign direct investment can favor industrial structure upgrading, but it doesn't exist long stationary relationship between FDI and industrial structure upgrading. So this paper gives some suggestions on how to do more constructions for industrial structure upgrading through the introducing of FDI.
出处
《国际贸易问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2006年第8期82-86,共5页
Journal of International Trade
关键词
外商直接投资
产业结构优化
协整检验
Foreign direct investment (FDI)
Industrial structure upgrading
Cointegration test