摘要
产业内贸易常被作为支持“新贸易理论”的一个关键因素。然而本文从理论和实证两个方面对这一观察提出了若干质疑。建立在68个国家数据基础上的静态和动态计量模型结果显示，经济规模、消费者偏好、地理位置、贸易不均衡以及贸易环境（国家的经济开放程度）等因素，在短期和长期都对产业内贸易产生影响。这些发现促使“新贸易理论”重新去审视支持它的“证据”。
The large volume of intra-industry trade is often cited as critical evidence favoring the new trade theory. This paper challenges this view from both theoretical and empirical analyses. Using trade data of 68 countries, we estimate both a static and a dynamic model and find that factors such as the size of an economy, consumer preferences, geography, trade imbalance and trade environment （openness of a country） all have impacts on intra-industry trade in both the short term and the long term. These findings beg the new trade theory to rethink its evidence in the future.
出处
《经济学（季刊）》
2006年第3期715-732,共18页
China Economic Quarterly
基金
“教育部人文社会科学规划基金项目课题”(项目批准号:05JA790078)的资助
