摘要
通过建立平均降雨量、平均气温与沙芥生长期菜蛾发生量之间的模糊矩阵,预测沙芥生长期菜蛾的发生量,验证结果表明:历史符合率达100%,且2005年预报与实际完全吻合。
The emergence amount of Plutella xylostella in the growth period of Pugionium cornutum was predicted with the fuzzy matrix between emergence amount of Plutella xylostella in the growth period of Pugionium cornutum and the average rainfall with average temperature. It was verified the historical coincidence rate reached 100 percent and the prediction in 2005 was totally identical with reality. The method was easy to be used and convenient to be popularized.
出处
《安徽农业科学》
CAS
北大核心
2006年第12期2774-2775,共2页
Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences
基金
延安大学研究生启动基金课题(YD2005-037)
国际泥沙研究培训中心(2005-01-05)。
关键词
模糊矩阵
预测
沙芥
菜蛾
发生量
Fuzzv matrix: Prediction
Pugionium cornutum
Plutella xylostella
Emereenee amount