摘要
采用人工神经网络BP模式对我国东部6城市(上海、南京、杭州、合肥、武汉、长沙)的1991年(属历史上罕见的涝年)和1994年(旱年)的汛期(5~9月)降水进行预测,模式预测的旱涝总体趋势与实况相符。并预测了1995年的夏季降水。
Research is performed of predicting May~September precipitation in 1991 (the exceptionally great flood year) and 1994 (the drought year), using the data from six cities of east China with the aid of the model of back propagation type artificial neural network (BP ANN). Evidence shows that the general trend predicted for the rainfall excess/deficit agress with observations and the forecasting was attempted for the summer of 1995.
出处
《南京气象学院学报》
CSCD
1996年第3期354-357,共4页
Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meteorology
关键词
神经网络
东部地区
汛期
降水量
降水预报
artificial neural network, east China, summertime rainfall, prediction