摘要
文章运用协整理论分析陕西省改革开放以来国内生产总值和投资、居民消费之间是否存在长期稳定的关系。实证表明陕西省国内生产总值、投资、居民消费三者之间存在长期稳定的关系,政府应该转变一直以来主要以投资拉动经济型的增长方式,注重通过启动消费、影响投资最终达到促进经济增长的目的。
This paper has planned to utilize the theory of co- integration to analyze whether the long - term stable relation among Gross Domestic Product, national resident consumption and investment exists in Shaanxi Province using the data since the economic reform and open - up - to - outside policy. The analysis indicates that there exists a long- term stable relations among the Gross Domestic Product, national resident consumption and investment in Shaanxi, the government should transform continuously the main way of invest way to accelerate the economic development, and we can achieve the progress of economy through the influence of national resident consumption on investment.
出处
《统计与信息论坛》
2006年第3期56-60,76,共6页
Journal of Statistics and Information
关键词
单位根
因果关系检验
协整
误差修正模型
unit root
Granger causal test
co - integration
error correction model
