摘要
该文选取1961—1988年4—11月造成陕西暴雨天气的586个个例,用专家预报暴雨经验与多元相似法相结合,把每个个例总结成一组暴雨指标,同时又做为选取相似的历史样本,在有限区域内对陕西暴雨天气进行短期预报,1989年7—8月作预报9次,其准确率达78%。
Selected 586 cases producing shaanxi heavy rain weather during April to Nevember in 1961 1988,every case is summarized to a series rain index and a similarity historical sample,using the expert forecasting experiences and multivariate similarity,the short range heavy rain of shaanxi in limited erea is forecasted.The accuracy of forecasting can reach to 78% during July to August in 1989.
出处
《气象》
CSCD
北大核心
1996年第10期31-34,共4页
Meteorological Monthly