摘要
本文设计了CPE-IHO(countablepartialequilibrium--input-holding-outputmodel)模型(又称为可计算局部均衡-投入占用产出两阶段模型)。在反事实比较的基础上,该模型既可以计算倾销和补贴对进口国产业总产出、增加值和消费者福利的直接影响,又可以计算倾销和补贴对进口国的产业和经济系统的总产出、增加值和就业的完全影响。应用该模型进行了数值计算、对计算结果进行了比较和分析,并给出了进口贸易的合理政策建议。
The paper presents a countable partial equilibrium-input-holding-output model (CPE-IHO Model). With CPE-IHO model, not only direct impact but also complete impact, conjunct impact of unfair importation on the import country′s industries and whole economy system can be calculated, which can′t be done at one time by other models. Anti-fact method is used to compare the change of the same indexes in two cases that unfair importation happens and unfair importation doesn′t happen, with any other factors unchanged. The validity of the model is verified by numerical test. Results are compared and analyzed. Based on these, political suggestion is provided.
出处
《管理评论》
2006年第3期41-46,共6页
Management Review
基金
科技部软科学项目资助(2003DGS2B022)
中国科学院国际合作重点项目资助(GJHZ0515)。
