摘要
本文依据青岛沿海地区的台风暴潮成灾范围和经济损失额划分了灾级;利用1949年以来青岛地区台风暴潮成灾个例,以潮位,波高以及他们的综合值为因子,运用逐步回归方法,建立了青岛地区台风暴潮灾度预报方程。经回报和后报检验,效果很好。
In this Paper, the disaster ranks were divided according to the disaster area and the loss in economy in Qingdao coast. The tide level and the wave height and their combined values were selected as factors. the forecasting formula of disaster rank by tropical storm surge in Qingdao coast was formed through stepwise regression. The forecasting result in our operational work was satisfactory.
出处
《海洋预报》
北大核心
1996年第1期53-57,共5页
Marine Forecasts
关键词
青岛地区
台风
风暴潮
灾害预报
tropical storm surge, disaster rank forecasting.