摘要
利用欧州中期天气预报中心和国家海洋环境预报中心的数值预报产品,形成包括理想台风模型的模式初值,用正压原始方程做台风路径预报,经过1994年的6个台风的实时预报试验,效果较好。
An idealized typhoon vortex is constructed and superposed upon the objective analysis and forecasting fields come from ECMWF and National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center (NMEFC). The initial values for typhoon forecasts are obtained through this composite analysis scheme. Real-time forecasts for 6 cases in 1994 were carried out by a barotropic model with the usage of numerical forecasting products from ECMWF and NMEFC. It is shown from Verificatinn that the forecasting results are satisfactory.
出处
《海洋预报》
北大核心
1996年第1期16-22,共7页
Marine Forecasts
关键词
数值预报产品
台风
路径预报
Numerical forecasting products, Typhoon track prediction.