摘要
讨论了白银市气温突变及年代际变化特征,并利用均生函数预测模型对白银市气温进行预测试验.在1997～2003年预测试验中,结果表明,均生函数预测模型可以较好地拟合气温的气候变化趋势,对季、年气温有较好的预测能力.
The temperature abrupt changes and its decadal variation features in the Baiyin district, Gansu province are used in the experiment of the short-term climate prediction. The results show that this model can correctly simulate the climate trend during the period between 1997 and 2003 and has a good prediction ability about the seasonal and annual temperature changes.
出处
《成都信息工程学院学报》
2006年第1期128-132,共5页
Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology
关键词
气温变化
均生函数
预测
temperature change
generating function
prediction
