摘要
以经济增长率为主要指标,根据从谷到谷的经济周期划分法,1991年—2002年是我国进入改革开放以来的第四轮经济周期。这一轮经济周期是建国以来时间最长的一次,与以往的经济周期相比,具有增长势头平稳,短扩张、长收缩以及与世界经济周期同步化等特征,上述特征的产生是与此轮经济周期的成因直接相关的。为了防止经济大起大落,保持持续稳定增长,我国应针对经济周期出现的新特征,以拉高谷底、削平峰顶、做长周期为政策目标,以财政政策与货币政策的协调为手段,以经济政策的一致性和连续性为保证,增强“反周期”经济政策的有效性。
The period from 1991 to 2002 is the fourth economic cycle after China adopted the reforming and opening policy according to the measure of ＂valley to vally＂ economic cycle, which is basod on economic increase index. This cycle is the longest one since the year 1949. Compared with other previous cycles, it has characteristics of steady progress, short-time expanded, long-time shrinkod and synchronization with world economic, etc. To prevent great fluctuation of economic progress, government should take anti-cycle economic policies which includes fiscal policies and monetary policies to maintain consistency and continousness of economic development.
出处
《上海行政学院学报》
2006年第2期50-56,共7页
The Journal of Shanghai Administration Institute
关键词
经济周期
新特征
反周期
经济政策
Economic cycle, New characteristic, Anti-cycle, Economic policy
