摘要
文章基于中国8个省份、1354个农户、跨度15年的微观面板数据,测算了大病冲击对于农户长期收入的影响以及村级民主对缓解农户健康风险的作用。结果发现:(1)大病冲击在随后的12年周期上对农户人均纯收入都有显著的负面影响;(2)大病冲击对农户的短期与中期影响使得患病户人均纯收入平均降低13.2%;长期的影响可持续大约24年,并且对贫困农户的影响更为深远;(3)在健康风险管理方面,村级民主对于减轻大病借款倾向和因病负债时间有显著的正面影响,村级选举产生的缓解作用相当于农户人均收入大约5%的水平,并且使得大病冲击持续时间减少3年。
Using panel data from 1354 households in eight Chinese provinces over fifteen years, this paper estimates the effects of major health shocks on households’ long-term incomes and the impact of village elections on mitigating these effects. The results show that major health shocks have a negative effect on average individual incomes of households in succedent twenty-four years, with a larger effect on poorer households. Village election is found to lower the propensity for a household under health shock to borrow money and shorten the duration in debt.
出处
《中国人口科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2006年第1期21-32,共12页
Chinese Journal of Population Science