摘要
随着国民经济的快速发展、人口数量的不断增长和消费水平的逐步提高,人们对旅游的体验需求越来越大。如何实现中国旅游业的持续发展,是摆在全国人民面前一个严峻的问题。通过对近24年中国旅游国内总收入变化趋势的分析,运用灰色系统理论对影响中国旅游业发展诸因素进行关联分析,量化了旅游业产值与诸因子的关联程度,为中国旅游业制定发展规划、促进旅游业的可持续发展提供了参考依据。
Based on the statistical data of China levels from 1978 to 2002, the dynamic change of tourism and regional differences are discussed. In the last 24 years, the total national tourism allowance took on an increasing trend on the whole. According to the grey system theory, factors affecting tourism allowance are analyzed and correlative degree between factors and tourism allowance is quantitatively measured .The results show the most important factors that affect tourism allowance . This paper provides a scientific basis for sustainable tourism development in China.
出处
《云南地理环境研究》
2006年第1期43-47,共5页
Yunnan Geographic Environment Research
关键词
中国
旅游业
发展
灰色关联分析
China
tourism
development
grey dynamic analysis