摘要
本文在对已有农村富余劳动力估计方法进行评述的基础上,基于城乡发展的综合视角,兼顾农业生产和城镇化发展两个方面,构建出新的农村富余劳动力估计方法;运用相应的统计数据,对改革开放以来我国农村富余劳动力的存量和增量进行估计和系统分析;并从经验估计和预测的角度对未来我国农村富余劳动力的变化趋势和增量进行估计和分析。
Different methods for estimation of total number of the surplus rural workers are examined. Using the statistical data since the late 1970s (especially from the end of the 1980s), the authors re-evaluated the number of the surplus labor and its increment, and give a projection from a perspective of urban and rural development in future
出处
《农业经济问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2005年第9期23-27,共5页
Issues in Agricultural Economy
基金
2004年农业部软科学(编号:0413-2)项目"农村劳动力转移与城镇化发展的协调性研究"的部分成果。