摘要
矿井瓦斯渗出量预测,对矿井安全及正常生产至关重要。由于矿井瓦斯涌出量的影响因素、关联变量和约束条件复杂,对各因素之间的影响程度难以区分和把握,因此在预测预报中的精度较差。而采用灰色理论则具有高度的概括性,可以把各种不确定的因素,统一用一个简单的“灰数”表示,预测精度高而且使用简单。在分析某矿历年来相对瓦斯涌出量的基础上,应用灰色系统理论对其瓦斯涌出量进行了预测,其方法与结果对预防煤矿恶性事故的发生,保证煤矿的安全生产具有重要意义。
To predict the amount of mine gas emission is crucial for mining safety and normal production in coal mine. Because the influential factors and relation variables and constraining conditions is complex, and it is very difficult to differentiate and deal with the influence degree, the precision of its predicting and forecast is more difference. However, Grey Theory is a succinct summary, which can use a simple “Grey Data” to represent all indefinite. The result showed high precision, and easy- to- use and practicable. This paper exemplified grey system method in predicting the amount of mine gas emission based on the foundation of analysing the gas emission amount of some coal mine in the past years, the methods and results will have irnportant meaning in preventing malignant accident and ensuring safety production in coal mine.
出处
《工业安全与环保》
2005年第9期1-3,共3页
Industrial Safety and Environmental Protection
基金
国家重大自然科学基金项目:"深部多相多场耦合作用及其灾害发生机理与防治"(50490274)
